Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.004745 0.005226 0.005747 0.006351 0.007038 0.007795 0.008697
2025-08-10 0.003914 0.004568 0.005328 0.006283 0.007462 0.008881 0.010740
2025-08-17 0.003488 0.004229 0.005132 0.006327 0.007890 0.009896 0.012716
2025-08-24 0.003138 0.003916 0.004901 0.006260 0.008122 0.010639 0.014395
2025-08-31 0.002820 0.003601 0.004620 0.006074 0.008145 0.011068 0.015660
2025-09-07 0.002619 0.003416 0.004484 0.006057 0.008381 0.011802 0.017451
2025-09-14 0.002515 0.003349 0.004498 0.006242 0.008916 0.013026 0.020176
2025-09-21 0.002337 0.003162 0.004322 0.006128 0.008979 0.013516 0.021757
2025-09-28 0.002180 0.002992 0.004156 0.006009 0.009015 0.013955 0.023302
2025-10-05 0.002070 0.002882 0.004068 0.005999 0.009220 0.014691 0.025492
2025-10-12 0.002002 0.002829 0.004059 0.006111 0.009632 0.015828 0.028635
2025-10-19 0.001899 0.002714 0.003947 0.006043 0.009725 0.016398 0.030736
2025-10-26 0.001811 0.002623 0.003871 0.006037 0.009946 0.017268 0.033717
2025-11-02 0.001717 0.002516 0.003764 0.005972 0.010055 0.017945 0.036436
2025-11-09 0.001654 0.002452 0.003722 0.006013 0.010363 0.019055 0.040399
2025-11-16 0.001576 0.002361 0.003626 0.005950 0.010462 0.019746 0.043502
2025-11-23 0.001484 0.002241 0.003475 0.005775 0.010323 0.019904 0.045276
2025-11-30 0.001427 0.002176 0.003414 0.005759 0.010500 0.020783 0.049190
2025-12-07 0.001406 0.002170 0.003452 0.005933 0.011086 0.022682 0.056492
2025-12-14 0.001341 0.002086 0.003349 0.005826 0.011064 0.023140 0.059666
2025-12-21 0.001280 0.002005 0.003248 0.005714 0.011021 0.023543 0.062782
2025-12-28 0.001238 0.001956 0.003200 0.005706 0.011204 0.024540 0.068140
2026-01-04 0.001216 0.001938 0.003208 0.005810 0.011657 0.026307 0.076729